The numbers behind the calculations
Health benefits
Exercise
1 hour exercise/week = 2*52/24 = 4 days longer life/year_lived
2 hours life/hour exercise/week * 52 weeks/year_lived * 1/24 days/hour
Light exercise
up to 6 brisk walks of 30 minute each (per month!) reduced death rate by
30% over sedentary twin
more than 6 brisk walks per month decreased death rate by 44 percent
(source: JAMA Feb 11, 1998, as reported in Phil Inq)
Cigarettes
1 cigarette/day = -3.0 days life/year
-12 min life/cigarette/day * 365 days/year * 1/60 hours/min *
From American Cancer society (Science claims 5 minutes/cigarette)
To calculate life expectancy for the health benefits
years_won = days_won/365
modified_life_expectancy = life_expectancy * (1 + years_won)
Hazards
Driving
1,000 miles/year driven = -.00365 days life/year
10^-8 deaths/mile/year * 1,000 miles/year * 365
wearing seat belts reduces this by a factor of two
To calculate life expectancy for the hazards
Directly modify the life table calculations
with the change in the chance of dying each year.
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ungar@cis.upenn.edu